recovery Archives - Social Enterprise Development Partnerships, Inc.

Fragile recovery persists among nanoenterprises post pandemic

Update 18 of SEDPI’s Rapid Community Assessment (RCA)
October – December 2022

As the world slowly recovers from the pandemic, the economic landscape remains uncertain, especially for nanoenterprises. A recent survey conducted by our organization, Social Enterprise Development Partnerships, Inc. (SEDPI), reveals that 99% of nanoenterprises have resumed operations as of December 2022, indicating a promising recovery for this crucial sector of the economy.

Despite the positive news, recovery remains fragile with 52% of nanoenterprises surveyed experiencing weak demand. Access to supplies has been a continuing concern with 27% of nanoenterprises still reporting difficulties in obtaining the necessary supplies.

SEDPI’s latest self-rated poverty survey reveals that the impact of the pandemic on poverty levels remains significant. For 2022, 54% of respondents rated themselves at the poverty line, a decrease from 81% in 2021. The number of respondents who rated themselves as poor is steady at 3% and 4%. On a positive note, the number of respondents who no longer consider themselves poor nearly tripled from 16% in 2021 to 41% in 2022.

According to the Social Weather Stations, which conducts the survey at the national level, self-rated poverty was recorded at 48% in 2021 and 51% in 2022. The considerably elevated self-rated poverty at the national level suggest that a greater number of nanoenterprises that SEDPI serves experienced better economic conditions.

Over the past three years, SEDPI has conducted an impact assessment to evaluate its support for nanoenterprises through self-evaluation or perception surveys. The results are as follows:

	Dec 19	Dec 21	Dec 22
Help in growing business	82%	100%	98%
Education of children	70%	85%	98%
Improve housing	67%	99%	98%
Improve nutrition	81%	100%	100%
Increase income	82%	100%	97%

The perception survey suggests that SEDPI’s assistance plays a crucial role in alleviating hardships among nanoenterprises in areas such as business growth, education, housing, nutrition, and income. This may be the reason why the highly significantly lower self-rated poverty data among SEDPI nanoenterprises compared to the national survey. Additional interventions and strategies in the areas of disaster risk reduction, housing and health are necessary to enable a more comprehensive and lasting escape from poverty.

The majority of respondents are nanoenterprises (45%), owned and operated by women, with an average age of 43 and 73% being married. Of these nanoenterprises, 40% rely on other sources of income, such as employment, while 12% are unpaid family members, and 2% are unemployed.

SEDPI is a microfinance institution dedicated to providing ethical financing to nanoenterprises in Agusan del Sur, Davao de Oro, Davao del Norte, and Surigao del Sur. Their efforts have led to significant improvements in various aspects of the beneficiaries’ lives, such as business growth, education, housing, nutrition, and income.

November 27, 2022 (Update 17): 77% of nanoenterprises recover from the pandemic
April 27, 2022 (Update 16): Only 26% of nanoenterprise resume normal operations from the pandemic
February 8, 2022 (Update 15): Poverty among nanoenterprises worsens amid the pandemic
October 23, 2021 (Update 14): Nanoenterprise resuming normal operations slumps
July 25, 2021 (Update 13): Nanoenterprise recovery almost doubles to 63% a year after lockdowns
April 22, 2021 (Update 12): 1 out of 4 nanoenterprises adopted online selling in response to lockdowns
January 20, 2021 (Update 11): Typhoon hampers bounce back of nanoenterprises in CARAGA
July 17, 2020 (Update 10): Almost 4 in 10 nanoenterprises bounce back to pre-pandemic level
June 12, 2020 (Update 9): Microenterprises show signs of bouncing back as lockdown eases
May 28, 2020 (Update 8): 8 out of 10 microenterprises open for business one month after GCQ
May 22, 2020 (Update 7): Demand for microenterprise products remain weak amid COVID pandemic
May 15, 2020 (Update 6): Demand slumps on microenterprise products 2 weeks after GCQ
May 8, 2020 (Update 5): Only 5% of microenterprises back to “normal” in first week of GCQ
April 30, 2020 (Update 4): Two in three microenterprises hopeful to bounce back two months after lockdow – UPDATE 4
April 24, 2020 (Update 3): Community assessment and recommendations for support to microenterprises and the informal sector during and after COVID-19 – UPDATE 3
April 14, 2020 (Update 2): Community assessment and recommendations for support to microenterprises and the informal sector during and after COVID-19 – UPDATE 2
April 6, 2020 (Update 1): Community assessment and recommendations for support to microenterprises and the informal sector during and after COVID-19 – UPDATE 1
March 30, 2020: Immediate impact of COVID-19 lockdown to microenterprises

Resilience and Recovery: A Chronological Analysis of Nanoenterprises Amidst the COVID-19 Pandemic

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound impact on nanoenterprises (NEs) worldwide, with various stages of recovery, demand trends, and access to supplies experienced throughout the course of the pandemic. This article examines the chronological analysis of NEs’ recovery, demand trends, and access to supplies from March 2020 to December 2022, based on the Rapid Community Assessment conducted by the Social Enterprise Development Partnerships, Inc. (SEDPI). By analyzing these trends, we can better understand the challenges faced by NEs and the factors contributing to their resilience and adaptability.

March 2020: Initial Pandemic Impact, Demand Shift, and Supply Chain Disruptions

At the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020, 34% of NEs stopped their operations due to lockdowns and social distancing measures, while 66% resumed operations. Demand was characterized by 8% of NEs experiencing no buyers, 78% experiencing weak demand, and 13% witnessing strong demand, as consumers’ priorities shifted towards essential goods and services. Supply chain disruptions affected NEs, with 36% facing difficult access to supplies and 64% having access to necessary resources.

June 2020: Early Recovery, Persistent Weak Demand, and Supply Chain Struggles

In June 2020, the recovery of NEs continued, with 91% resuming operations and only 9% remaining closed. However, demand remained weak, with 7% of NEs having no buyers, 72% facing weak demand, and 21% enjoying strong demand. Access to supplies was a significant challenge, as 81% of NEs had adequate access while 19% faced difficulties due to ongoing supply chain disruptions caused by the pandemic.

December 2020: Relief, Recovery, Improved Demand, and Better Supply Access Amid Typhoon Vicky’s Impact

By December 2020, government relief packages and easing of lockdown restrictions helped many NEs recover, with 3% remaining closed and 96% resuming operations. Demand improved slightly, with 4% of NEs having no buyers, 75% facing weak demand, and 21% enjoying strong demand. The holiday season likely contributed to increased consumer spending. Access to supplies significantly improved, with 90% of NEs having access and only 10% experiencing difficulties.

However, during this period, Typhoon Vicky hit the region, causing agricultural production losses in rice, corn, high-value crops, and livestock. The typhoon also triggered floods and landslides, resulting in damaged or destroyed homes in coastal areas. The natural disaster added challenges to the recovery process of nanoenterprises, particularly those in the affected areas and those dependent on agricultural production. Although the overall trend in December 2020 indicated progress in recovery, improved demand, and better access to supplies for nanoenterprises, the recovery would have been even more significant if not for the added challenges brought about by Typhoon Vicky.

March 2021: Steady Recovery, Increased Strong Demand, and Improved Supply Access

By March 2021, the situation for NEs had improved, with 97% resuming operations and only 3% remaining closed. Demand patterns shifted, with only 1% of NEs having no buyers, 52% experiencing weak demand, and 47% enjoying strong demand, likely due to the easing of restrictions and ongoing vaccination campaigns. Access to supplies improved, with 73% of NEs having adequate access and 27% still facing difficulties.

June 2021: Full Recovery, Diverse Demand, and Enhanced Access to Supplies

By June 2021, 100% of NEs resumed operations, marking a full recovery in this period. Demand varied, with 2% of NEs having no buyers, 64% facing weak demand, and 34% experiencing strong demand. Access to supplies continued to improve, with 82% of NEs having adequate access and only 18% facing difficulties.

September 2021: Delta Variant Surge, Granular Lockdowns, and Nanoenterprise Adaptation

In September 2021, the Delta variant surged in the Philippines, prompting the government to implement granular lockdowns as opposed to the general lockdowns previously imposed. This new approach aimed to prevent the wholesale disruption of jobs and livelihoods while still addressing the public health crisis. Despite the surge and the implementation of granular lockdowns, 96% of NEs continued to operate, while only 4% temporarily stopped their operations.

Demand patterns during this period fluctuated, with 12% of NEs having no buyers, 66% experiencing weak demand, and 22% witnessing strong demand. As the granular lockdowns targeted specific areas with high infection rates, many nanoenterprises had to quickly adapt to the changing circumstances and market conditions. Access to supplies remained relatively stable, with 77% of NEs having adequate access and 23% facing difficulties.

The September 2021 period demonstrated the resilience of nanoenterprises in the face of new challenges posed by the Delta variant and the government’s shift in lockdown strategy. Despite the hurdles, the sector continued to adapt and maintain its operations, contributing to the nation’s economic recovery.

December 2021: Continued Recovery, Increased Strong Demand, and Moderate Access to Supplies

By December 2021, widespread vaccination campaigns allowed for more relaxed social distancing measures and a resurgence in consumer demand. The percentage of stopped NEs remained at 3%, while 97% resumed operations. Demand for NE products and services further improved, with 9% of NEs having no buyers, 65% facing weak demand, and 26% experiencing strong demand. Access to supplies became more moderate, with 77% of NEs having access and 23% facing difficulties.

March 2022: Steady Operations, Persistent Weak Demand, and Improved Access to Supplies

By March 2022, the status of operations remained consistent, with 4% of NEs stopped and 96% resumed operations. Demand continued to lean towards weakness, as 8% of NEs had no buyers, 67% faced weak demand, and 26% experienced strong demand. However, access to supplies significantly improved, with 85% of NEs having access and only 15% facing difficulties.

September 2022: Temporary Setbacks, Fluctuating Demand, and Slightly Reduced Access to Supplies

In September 2022, the temporary increase in stopped NEs to 4% could be attributed to localized outbreaks and new COVID-19 variants. Despite these setbacks, 96% of NEs remained operational. However, demand patterns fluctuated, with 15% of NEs having no buyers, 36% experiencing weak demand, and 49% witnessing strong demand. Access to supplies slightly declined, with 73% of NEs having access and 27% facing difficulties.

December 2022: High Inflation Impact on Nanoenterprises, Demand Patterns, and Purchasing Power

In December 2022, the Philippines’ headline inflation increased to 8.1 percent, as reported by the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA). The high inflation rate led to a decrease in purchasing power, resulting in reduced consumer spending, particularly among low-income households. Despite the inflationary pressures, 99% of NEs remained operational, while only 1% stopped their operations, showcasing the resilience of the sector.

Compared to September 2022, when 36% of NEs faced weak demand, the percentage increased to 52% in December 2022, illustrating the heightened challenges for these enterprises due to reduced consumer spending amid high inflation. The decreased purchasing power of consumers, especially in low-income households, contributed to the fluctuations in demand patterns for nanoenterprises.

Access to supplies remained relatively stable, with 73% of NEs having access to necessary resources and 27% facing difficulties in acquiring them. The December 2022 period highlighted the challenges faced by nanoenterprises due to high inflation and its impact on consumer spending, while also demonstrating the adaptability of the sector in sustaining operations amid economic challenges.

Conclusion:

Throughout the COVID-19 pandemic and various external challenges, such as natural disasters and high inflation, nanoenterprises have consistently demonstrated resilience and adaptability in maintaining operations, responding to fluctuating demand, and navigating supply chain disruptions. As of December 2022, the sector has reached a near full recovery, with stabilizing demand patterns and steady access to supplies. The findings from SEDPI’s Rapid Community Assessment underscore the importance of continued support and empowerment for nanoenterprises, as they play a crucial role in local economies and communities. As the world moves forward from the pandemic’s impact, fostering collaboration between government, business, and community organizations will remain vital in ensuring the sustained success and growth of nanoenterprises in the face of ongoing and future challenges.

Respondents:

In December 2022, the Rapid Community Assessment (RCA) conducted by SEDPI garnered responses from 1,398 respondents across the provinces of Agusan del Sur, Davao de Oro, Davao del Norte, and Surigao del Sur. The profile of respondents in this edition of the survey was similar to that of previous editions. The majority of respondents were female (86%), with an average age of 43, and 73% of them were married. When it came to sources of income, 40% were employed, 45% were nanoenterprise owners, 12% were unpaid family members contributing to the family business, and 2% were unemployed.

Nanoenterprise status

	Mar’20	Jun ’20	Dec ’20	Mar’21	Jun ’21	Sep ’21	Dec 21	Mar ’22	Sep’ 22	Dec 22
Stopped	34%	9%	3%	3%	0%	4%	3%	4%	4%	1%
Resumed	66%	91%	96%	97%	100%	96%	97%	96%	96%	99%

Market demand for NE products and services

	Mar’20	Jun ’20	Dec ’20	Mar’21	Jun ’21	Sep ’21	Dec 21	Mar ’22	Sep’ 22	Dec 22
No buyers	8%	7%	4%	1%	2%	12%	9%	8%	15%	6%
Weak demand	78%	72%	75%	52%	64%	66%	65%	67%	36%	52%
Strong demand	13%	21%	21%	47%	34%	22%	26%	26%	49%	42%

Access to supplies for NE livelihood operations

	Mar’20	Jun ’20	Dec ’20	Mar’21	Jun ’21	Sep ’21	Dec 21	Mar ’22	Sep’ 22	Dec 22
With access	64%	81%	90%	73%	82%	77%	77%	85%	73%	73%
Challenge in access	36%	19%	10%	27%	18%	23%	23%	15%	27%	27%

Almost 4 in 10 nanoenterprises bounce back to pre-pandemic level

Update 10: SEDPI Rapid community assessment on the impact of COVID-19 to nanoenterprises

Two months after the government started easing lockdowns in most parts of the country, 36% of nanoenterprises reported to have bounced back to pre-pandemic level. In May, only 18% expected to bounce back within one month which may be a good sign of recovery if the spread of the virus is contained.

Nanoenterprise (NE) is a SEDPI-coined term that refers to unregistered livelihoods of self-employed individuals. They typically operate informal businesses alone or with the help of unpaid family members targeting their own immediate local communities.

Status of nanoenterprises

Those that bounced back report that they are already able to earn about the same income; and experience normal demand to their products and services. For the month of June, there were twice as many nanoenterprises reporting slowdown in sales compared to those that reported strong demand.

Access to supply on inputs needed to operate their livelihoods remain stable.

Financing options

Nanoenterprises typically access loans from informal sources which make them vulnerable to predatory financing practices. Most of them borrow money from cooperatives, rural banks, microfinance NGOs and pawnshops.

On average, nanoenterprises borrow a small sum of money ranging from PhP3,000 to PhP10,000 to finance their livelihoods such as sari-sari stores, carinderia, farmers, fisherfolks, dressmaking and vending. Microfinance institutions offer collateral-free loans to them payable in three to six months with interest rates ranging from 2% to 5% per month.

With microenterprises cautious on demand, they prefer not to access loans. Only two of three of those who finished their loans opted to renew their for another cycle. This is also a sign that nanoenterprise have the ability to weigh risks and returns.

For the month of June, when normal loan collections resumed, one in three nanoenterprises was able to repay in accordance with amortizations based on the Bayanihan Act’s loan deferment schedule. A majority are requesting for up to two months additional grace period to allow them more time to adjust and cope with the new normal.

Essential financial service to low income group

There are approximately 8 million low income households that access microfinance services in the Philippines. MFIs are frontliners in the delivery of financial services to low income groups who find it difficult to open deposit accounts and access loans from commercial banks.

SEDPI estimates that a PhP40B economic assistance to nanoenterprises channeled through MFIs will address their financing needs to jumpstart their livelihoods. This is based on 8 milion estimated number of microenterprises and PhP5,000 economic assistance package.

The proposed Philippine economic stimulus package contains a total of PhP245 billion budget to assist micro, small and medium enterprises. Only a small fraction of this is expected to reach nanoenterprises.

Prioritizing nanoenterprises

The negative impact of COVID-19 to nanoenterprises is undeniable. The research shows that nanoenterprises are showing positive signs of bouncing back faster.

Preferential option to those at the bottom of the pyramid should be extended first since these groups can bounce back quickly; only need a small amount of stimulus; will reduce need for cash dole outs; and will reach millions of Filipino low income households.

Note:

The research is part of a series of rapid community assessments that determines the economic impact of COVID-19 to microenterprises and the informal sector. SEDPI, a microfinance institution (MFI), conducted the survey from June 23-30 with 5,791 respondents located in Agusan del Sur and Surigao del Sur.

It is not a representative sample of the entire Philippines. It is highly localized but should be a good case study that reflects the situation in the countryside. SEDPI believes that the nationwide experience may not be far from our research results.

Previous updates:

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• June 12 (Update 9): Microenterprises show signs of bouncing back as lockdown eases
• May 28 (Update 8): 8 out of 10 microenterprises open for business one month after GCQ
• May 22 (Update 7): Demand for microenterprise products remain weak amid COVID pandemic
• May 15 (Update 6): Demand slumps on microenterprise products 2 weeks after GCQ
May 8 (Update 5): Only 5% of microenterprises back to “normal” in first week of GCQ
• April 30 (Update 4): Two in three microenterprises hopeful to bounce back two months after lockdow – UPDATE 4
• April 24 (Update 3): Community assessment and recommendations for support to microenterprises and the informal sector during and after COVID-19 – UPDATE 3
• April 14 (Update 2): Community assessment and recommendations for support to microenterprises and the informal sector during and after COVID-19 – UPDATE 2
• April 6 (Update 1): Community assessment and recommendations for support to microenterprises and the informal sector during and after COVID-19 – UPDATE 1
• March 30: Immediate impact of COVID-19 lockdown to microenterprises